Technical Analysis CFD Indeks Saham dan Oil 6 Mei 2024

Published on 05/06/2024

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CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CRUDE OIL

KETERANGAN

* Daily ditutup dengan candle bearish panjang setelah spinning tops -> secara teori berarti masih bisa lanjut turun
* Potensi target H&S Daily chart di kisaran 74/75, dan 50% target di kisaran 78 -> sejauh ini masih terus bertahan di zona tengah 78
* Geopolitik relatif tenang sampai saat ini -> secara umum belum selesai seutuhnya sehingga patut diwaspadai jika sewaktu-waktu meningkat kembali
* Fibonacci Retracement H4 ditarik dari puncak 84 ke bottom 77.90
a. Support FR 0% 77.90 -> jika tembus, lanjut turun, pertahankan SELL!
b. Resistance terdekat 79.44 (FR 23.6%), 80.39 (FR 38.2%), dan 81.17 (FR 50%) -> Kemungkinan pantulan tertahan di antara 3 zona tersebut, ideal untuk SELL!
c. Resistance FR 61.8% di 81.94 dan trendline resistance 82.50 -> bullish lebih konfirm jika tembus di atas area 82.50, selama tidak terpenuhi, maka tetap turun
* Switch to BUY hanya jika tembus 82.50!

Suggest : SELL on Rally
Area : 79.00 – 79.20
(alternatif : follow SELL jika tembus 77.90)
Target : 1) 78.00
2) 77.00
Stop Loss : 80.20
DISCLAIMER ON!

CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS DOW JONES

KETERANGAN

* Daily candle kembali ditutup bullish dan berhasil lewati neckline resistance dari potensi pola double bottom -> kecenderungan lanjut naik secara teori dengan potensi target utama 39674, dan 50% target di kisaran 39220
* Fokus laporan pendapatan perusahaan -> laporan positif cenderung mendorong saham naik
* Di H4, FR ditarik dari bottom 37864 ke puncak 38948
a. Ekspektasi ideal : swing low tertahan di FR 23.6% 38693, maksimum di FR 38.2% 38534, lalu rebound -> zona buy ideal di FR 38.2%
b. Potensi turun jika tembus di bawah 38270 (FR 61.8%) -> Switch to SELL
* SWITCH to SELL jika tembus 38270 !

Suggest : BUY on Dip
Area : 38700 – 38720
(Alternatif : follow buy jika tembus 38948)
Target : 1) 38820
2) 38920
Stop Loss : 38600
DISCLAIMER ON!

CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS S&P 500

KETERANGAN

* Daily candle kembali ditutup bullish -> cenderung masih naik
* Fokus laporan pendapatan perusahaan -> laporan positif cenderung mendorong saham naik
* Di H4, masih bergerak dalam jalur trend channel, resistance 5200, support 5059
a. Ekspektasi ideal : swing low tertahan di zona tengah kisaran 5100-5120, lanjut naik dekati resistance trend channel
b. Potensi turun jika tembus di bawah 5059 (support trend channel) -> Switch to SELL
* SWITCH to SELL jika tembus 5059 !

Suggest : BUY on Dip
Area : 5110.00 – 5130.00
Target : 1) 5160.00
2) 5190.00
Stop Loss : 5080.00
DISCLAIMER ON!

CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NASDAQ

KETERANGAN

* Daily candle kembali ditutup bullish -> cenderung masih naik
* Fokus laporan pendapatan perusahaan -> laporan positif cenderung mendorong saham naik
* Di H4,tembus di atas resistance 17833, maka area tersebut jadi support baru, dan resistance selanjutnya saat ini ada di 18057
a. Ekspektasi ideal : swing low tertahan di zona tengah kisaran 17833 – 17900, lanjut naik dekati resistance atau bisa lanjut tembus resistance 18057
b. Potensi turun jika tembus di bawah 17833 (support) -> Switch to SELL
* SWITCH to SELL jika tembus 17833 !

Suggest : BUY on Dip
Area : 17900.00 – 17920.00
(Alternatif : follow buy jika tembus 18057)
Target : 1) 18020.00
2) 18120.00
Stop Loss : 17800.00
DISCLAIMER ON!

CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NIKKEI

KETERANGAN

* Candle Daily ditutup bullish dan pagi ini dibuka gap up -> secara teori potensi cenderung naik
* Kenaikan/gap terbantu oleh posisi Wall Street yang ditutup naik hari Jumat
* Support psikologis 37754 -> belum tembus, maka berpeluang naik
* Support baru daily kisaran 38000 -> potensi reversal bearish jika tembus support ini!
* Resistance 38745 -> jika ditembus, maka berpeluang lanjut naik
* Di H4, penurunan tertahan di 37795, kenaikan berhasil lebih tinggi dekati resistance 38827
a. support 37795 -> jika tembus, berpotensi berbalik turun, switch to SELL
b. resistance 38827 -> jika tembus, berpotensi lanjut naik, bisa pertahankan BUY!! (potensi berikutnya 39000)
* Switch to SELL hanya jika tembus 37795!

Suggest : BUY on Dip
Area : 38350 – 38370
(Alternatif : follow buy jika tembus 38827)
Target : 1) 38470
2) 38570
Stop Loss : 38250
DISCLAIMER ON!

CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HANG SENG

KETERANGAN

* Daily candle ditutup bearish -> secara teori, ada potensi turun, tapi selama tidak tembus 18200, cenderung penurunan terbatas atau bisa dianggap koreksi
* Daily terdeteksi pola Inverted head & shoulders, dengan neckline 17250, dan target utama 19690 -> 17250 support psikologis, selama tidak tembus, maka uptren lebih dominan, dan penurunan apapun cenderung bersifat koreksi terbatas
* Short term :
a. Tembus 17988 = potensi turun, potensi target terjauh 17526
b. Tembus 18575 = lanjut naik, potensi target 18813 terdekat, terjauh 19000
* Medium term : masih bullish karena masih ada peluang bank sentral China memangkas RRR dan juga LPR di tahun ini -> setiap penurunan adalah peluang untuk buy untuk strategi medium term
* Short term waspadai bearish, terutama jika turun/tembus di bawah 17988 atau gagal tembus 18575

Suggest : BUY on Dip
Area : 18320-18340
Target : 1) 18440
2) 18540
(bisa follow/pertahankan BUY jika tembus 18575)
Stop Loss : 18200
( Switch to SELL hanya jika tembus 18000)
DISCLAIMER ON!